Pro Football Spread·closes in 2d

Kansas City wins by over 9.5 points?

YES means Kansas City wins by over 9.5 points

24h volume
450.7k
454.1k lifetime
Open interest
281.1k
+2,064 over 90d
Spread
141 × 2,860 at the touch
24h range
38¢ – 41¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%36

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
97¢ / 98¢
24h low 38¢24h high 41¢
Recent buying62% YES · 38% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

35¢40¢45¢volSep 15Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,06511¢
  • ask13110¢
  • ask250
  • ask1
  • ask100
  • ask245
  • ask1.24
  • ask2,645
spreadmid
  • bid4,792
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kansas City wins by more than 9.5 points in the Indianapolis vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 14 · 1:05 AM UTC
closes
Sep 23 · 12:20 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 3:20 AM UTC
floor
9.5
ticker
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP20INDKC-KC10
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 62% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3s ago111bought no
3s ago100bought no
3s ago10bought no
3s ago31bought no
19s ago6.93bought no
19s ago31bought no
19s ago10bought no
28s ago15bought no
35s ago13bought no
38s ago36bought no
38s ago25bought no
56s ago4bought no
56s ago31bought yes
56s ago40bought yes
56s ago10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.