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Pro Football Spread·closes in 2d

Kansas City wins by over 2.5 points?

YES means Kansas City wins by over 2.5 points

24h volume
1.86M
2.10M lifetime
Open interest
1.28M
+1.27M over 24h
Spread
10¢
455 × 10 at the touch
24h range
2¢ – 93¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
86%+20

A YES contract costs 81¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
14%

costs 29¢

YES bid / ask
71¢ / 81¢
NO bid / ask
19¢ / 29¢
24h low 2¢24h high 93¢
Recent buying80% YES · 20% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volSep 20, 3:51 AMSep 21, 3:49 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask31090¢
  • ask25589¢
  • ask1788¢
  • ask17487¢
  • ask13186¢
  • ask7185¢
  • ask2984¢
  • ask2183¢
spread6¢mid 80¢
  • bid12077¢
  • bid2876¢
  • bid1075¢
  • bid1074¢
  • bid2072¢
  • bid2870¢
  • bid3769¢
  • bid3168¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kansas City wins by more than 2.5 points in the Indianapolis vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 14 · 1:05 AM UTC
closes
Sep 23 · 12:20 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 3:20 AM UTC
floor
2.5
ticker
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP20INDKC-KC3
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 80% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
0s ago83¢14bought yes
0s ago77¢3bought no
1s ago84¢12bought yes
1s ago75¢70bought no
2s ago86¢64bought yes
2s ago85¢32bought yes
2s ago84¢15bought yes
2s ago85¢37bought yes
2s ago84¢50bought yes
2s ago84¢10bought yes
2s ago85¢24bought yes
2s ago73¢0.48bought no
2s ago74¢26bought no
2s ago74¢19bought no
2s ago84¢10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.