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Pro Football Spread·closes in 2d

Kansas City wins by over 4.5 points?

YES means Kansas City wins by over 4.5 points

24h volume
838.4k
849.1k lifetime
Open interest
565.2k
+263 over 90d
Spread
1¢
29 × 5,834 at the touch
24h range
12¢ – 74¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%−43

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 89¢
24h low 12¢24h high 74¢
Recent buying71% YES · 29% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢55¢60¢65¢volSep 15Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1030¢
  • ask1029¢
  • ask8327¢
  • ask2625¢
  • ask10024¢
  • ask1221¢
  • ask9720¢
  • ask20819¢
spread8¢mid 15¢
  • bid10611¢
  • bid4510¢
  • bid79¢
  • bid1217¢
  • bid1536¢
  • bid485¢
  • bid1,1563¢
  • bid1,3662¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kansas City wins by more than 4.5 points in the Indianapolis vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 14 · 1:05 AM UTC
closes
Sep 23 · 12:20 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 3:20 AM UTC
floor
4.5
ticker
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP20INDKC-KC5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 71% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1s ago12¢8bought no
1s ago12¢2.25bought no
4s ago13¢0.43bought no
4s ago14¢5bought yes
7s ago13¢4bought yes
16s ago12¢31bought no
16s ago12¢0.6bought no
16s ago12¢9.4bought no
16s ago12¢19bought no
30s ago13¢43bought yes
33s ago13¢1bought yes
38s ago16¢26bought yes
38s ago12¢1bought no
38s ago14¢1bought no
38s ago12¢179bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.