Will it be reported by New Hampshire Secretary of State that the New Hampshire secretary of state announces a specific date for the 2028 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary that precedes the currently scheduled date for the South Carolina presidential primary before Jan 22, 2028?
YES means Yes
- 24h volume
- 0
- 3,002 lifetime
- Open interest
- 2,066
- +1,712 over 90d
- Spread
- 15¢
- 0.13 × 50 at the touch
- 24h range
- 51¢ – 88¢
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 21¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the New Hampshire secretary of state announces a specific date for the 2028 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary that precedes the currently scheduled date for the South Carolina presidential primary after Issuance and before Jan 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Only reporting from New Hampshire Secretary of State qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- opened
- Jul 27 · 6:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 22, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 29, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXNHPRIMARY28-28
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in Will New Hampshire schedule its 2028 presidential primary before South Carolina?.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 96% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13d ago | 88¢ | 31 | bought yes |
| 18d ago | 83¢ | 17 | bought no |
| 18d ago | 84¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 20d ago | 88¢ | 0.23 | bought yes |
| 24d ago | 87¢ | 4.31 | bought yes |
| 24d ago | 87¢ | 0.69 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 80¢ | 22 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 82¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 81¢ | 4.31 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 81¢ | 4.31 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 80¢ | 16 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 71¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 66¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 65¢ | 52 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 63¢ | 50 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.