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New York City Mayor winner? (Person)·closes in 50mo

Who will win the next New York City mayoral election?

YES means Zohran Mamdani

24h volume
2.99
1,620 lifetime
Open interest
1,278
−0.13 over 24h
Spread
15¢
14 × 247 at the touch
24h range
53¢ – 68¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
68%

A YES contract costs 68¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
32%

costs 47¢

YES bid / ask
53¢ / 68¢
NO bid / ask
32¢ / 47¢
24h low 53¢24h high 68¢
Recent buying87% YES · 13% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢60¢70¢volSep 20, 4:16 AMSep 21, 2:48 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2999¢
  • ask4,15198¢
  • ask60090¢
  • ask26889¢
  • ask6288¢
  • ask10071¢
  • ask24768¢
spread15¢mid 61¢
  • bid1453¢
  • bid5452¢
  • bid10051¢
  • bid25511¢
  • bid58010¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Zohran Mamdani wins the next New York City mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 9 · 9:03 PM UTC
closes
Nov 6, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNYCMAYORPERSON-29-ZMAM
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 120¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 87% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
14m ago68¢1.43bought yes
3h ago53¢1.56bought no
1d ago68¢3bought yes
1d ago68¢2.19bought yes
1d ago68¢3.44bought yes
2d ago68¢16bought yes
2d ago68¢8.63bought yes
2d ago68¢2.24bought yes
2d ago68¢12bought yes
2d ago52¢3.04bought no
4d ago68¢1.43bought yes
4d ago68¢1.43bought yes
4d ago68¢7.19bought yes
4d ago67¢1.56bought yes
4d ago67¢15bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.