NYC statistics·closes in 5mo

Will the cover-page value New York City reports as “Average daily overnight census in all city-administered facilities for the reporting month” be above 100000 for December 2026?

YES means Above 100,000

24h volume
0
0 lifetime
Open interest
0
+0 over 90d
Spread
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
/ 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 91¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask5598¢
  • ask3997¢
  • ask48461¢
  • ask13760¢
  • ask12351¢
  • ask20017¢
spreadmid 13¢
  • bid5
  • bid200
  • bid35
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the cover-page value New York City reports as “Average daily overnight census in all city-administered facilities for the reporting month” is above 100,000 for December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Aug 7 · 5:03 PM UTC
closes
Mar 1, 2027 · 2:59 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
May 30, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
100000
ticker
KXNYCSTAT-SHEL26-A100000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.