Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2027?
YES means Before Jan 1, 2027
- 24h volume
- 111
- 32.5k lifetime
- Open interest
- 12.9k
- +12.9k over 30d
- Spread
- 2¢
- 200 × 20 at the touch
- 24h range
- 60¢ – 65¢
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 65¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 37¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask6180¢
- ask5779¢
- ask26875¢
- ask15274¢
- ask372¢
- ask30069¢
- ask9468¢
- ask2065¢
- bid20063¢
- bid7858¢
- bid36356¢
- bid643¢
- bid20040¢
- bid50039¢
- bid15027¢
- bid1,27626¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If OpenAI announces a complete solution developed by OpenAI or researchers collaborating directly with OpenAI on that solution to one of the five qualifying Millennium Prize Problems (Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer, Hodge, P versus NP, Riemann, or Yang-Mills), excluding the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem and the Poincare conjecture before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The qualifying announcement must expressly state that OpenAI developed or co-developed the solution, or expressly identify outside researchers as having collaborated with OpenAI on developing that solution. The qualifying problems are the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, Riemann Hypothesis, and Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem. The Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem and the Poincare conjecture do NOT count. Work by an independent ChatGPT user does NOT count, even if OpenAI publicizes it. Providing model access or research credits alone is not direct collaboration on the solution. Partial results, numerical evidence, or formalization of a previously known solution do NOT count as a complete solution. Clay acceptance, peer review, and a prize award are not required.
- opened
- Sep 8 · 10:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXOPENAIANOTHERMILLENNIUM-28-27JAN01
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 36% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14m ago | 64¢ | 10 | bought no |
| 14m ago | 64¢ | 19 | bought no |
| 19m ago | 64¢ | 15 | bought no |
| 20m ago | 64¢ | 15 | bought no |
| 8h ago | 65¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 8h ago | 65¢ | 3 | bought yes |
| 10h ago | 62¢ | 10 | bought no |
| 10h ago | 61¢ | 0.14 | bought no |
| 10h ago | 60¢ | 37 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 67¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 65¢ | 10 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 65¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 67¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 32¢ | 13 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 68¢ | 10 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.