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OPENAI Sector in S&P·closes in 16mo

Will OpenAI be assigned to Information Technology?

YES means Information Technology

24h volume
0
4,184 lifetime
Open interest
1,601
+0 over 24h
Spread
4¢
2.01 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
86%

A YES contract costs 90¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
14%

costs 14¢

YES bid / ask
86¢ / 90¢
NO bid / ask
10¢ / 14¢
Recent buying87% YES · 13% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3199¢
  • ask56298¢
  • ask2396¢
  • ask22291¢
  • ask20090¢
spread4¢mid 88¢
  • bid2.0186¢
  • bid23885¢
  • bid20082¢
  • bid25080¢
  • bid7312¢
  • bid3,61511¢
  • bid8888¢
  • bid1,0003¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If OpenAI is assigned to the Information Technology sector, then the market resolves to Yes.

If OpenAI is assigned to more than one sector by the GICS, then "Yes" holders for any attributed sector will receive $1/number of sectors and "No" holders for those sectors will receive $1 minus "Yes" payout.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 3 · 5:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 11, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 11, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOPENAISECTOR-XX-INFORMATI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 124¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 87% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago86¢0.99bought no
4d ago91¢11bought yes
4d ago91¢33bought yes
6d ago91¢3bought yes
7d ago93¢0.99bought yes
7d ago93¢3bought yes
9d ago93¢3bought yes
9d ago94¢2.32bought yes
10d ago90¢66bought yes
10d ago90¢200bought yes
13d ago88¢1bought yes
19d ago85¢12bought no
19d ago86¢10bought no
19d ago90¢17bought yes
19d ago90¢5.51bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.