Oscar for Best Actress·closes in 16mo

Will Anne hathaway win Best Actress at the Oscars?

YES means Anne hathaway

24h volume
671
21.4k lifetime
Open interest
14.9k
+612 over 7d
Spread
9,332 × 891 at the touch
24h range
3¢ – 3¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%2

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
95¢ / 97¢
24h low 24h high
Recent buying57% YES · 43% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1.0427¢
  • ask28221¢
  • ask50014¢
  • ask4.6213¢
  • ask112¢
  • ask0.25
  • ask0.25
  • ask891
spreadmid
  • bid9,332
  • bid100
  • bid1,073
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Anne hathaway has won Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99thth Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

opened
Jul 10 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARACTR-27-ANN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 110¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 57% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12h ago671bought no
1d ago75bought yes
2d ago15bought yes
3d ago68bought yes
3d ago26bought yes
3d ago19bought yes
3d ago8.5bought no
3d ago4bought no
5d ago3bought yes
5d ago1bought yes
6d ago94bought yes
6d ago308bought yes
6d ago1bought no
6d ago6bought no
7d ago1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.