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Oscar for Best Actress·closes in 16mo

Will Dakota Johnson win Best Actress at the Oscars?

YES means Dakota Johnson

24h volume
0
148 lifetime
Open interest
148
+144 over 30d
Spread
1¢
0 × 17.3k at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 1¢
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 1¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 24Sep 13

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Dakota Johnson has won Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 19 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARACTR-27-DAK
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 110¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12d ago1¢9.29bought yes
14d ago1¢2.5bought yes
17d ago1¢8.25bought yes
21d ago1¢0.16bought yes
21d ago1¢28bought yes
21d ago1¢0.2bought yes
21d ago1¢0.2bought yes
21d ago1¢1.35bought yes
22d ago1¢0.79bought yes
22d ago1¢2.04bought yes
23d ago1¢0.02bought yes
23d ago1¢0.01bought yes
26d ago1¢37bought yes
26d ago1¢1bought yes
26d ago1¢52bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.