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Oscar for Best Actress·closes in 16mo

Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the Oscars?

YES means Julianne Moore

24h volume
1,715
37.9k lifetime
Open interest
31.3k
+30.0k over 90d
Spread
2¢
15 × 12 at the touch
24h range
60¢ – 69¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
66%−3

A YES contract costs 65¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
34%

costs 37¢

YES bid / ask
63¢ / 65¢
NO bid / ask
35¢ / 37¢
24h low 60¢24h high 69¢
Recent buying62% YES · 38% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢volJul 11Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask32272¢
  • ask3171¢
  • ask1070¢
  • ask969¢
  • ask89568¢
  • ask21367¢
  • ask7366¢
  • ask1265¢
spread2¢mid 64¢
  • bid1563¢
  • bid2462¢
  • bid3961¢
  • bid5760¢
  • bid95259¢
  • bid50258¢
  • bid70357¢
  • bid3056¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Julianne Moore has won Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99thth Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 10 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARACTR-27-JUL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 113¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 62% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
53m ago66¢2.95bought yes
5h ago66¢15bought yes
5h ago67¢15bought yes
5h ago67¢5bought yes
5h ago65¢10bought yes
5h ago64¢0.94bought yes
5h ago66¢20bought yes
5h ago66¢39bought yes
5h ago66¢3bought yes
5h ago66¢6.92bought yes
5h ago66¢3.16bought yes
5h ago64¢23bought yes
5h ago65¢23bought yes
7h ago63¢0.5bought yes
7h ago64¢4.06bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.