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Oscar for Best Actress·closes in 16mo

Will Olivia Wilde win Best Actress at the Oscars?

YES means Olivia Wilde

24h volume
0
11.6k lifetime
Open interest
11.0k
+2,213 over 30d
Spread
1¢
65 × 2,682 at the touch
24h range
–
28 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
Recent buying89% YES · 11% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,20442¢
  • ask4737¢
  • ask1,98422¢
  • ask32319¢
  • ask15¢
  • ask14¢
  • ask543¢
  • ask2,6822¢
spread1¢mid 2¢
  • bid651¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Olivia Wilde has won Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99thth Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 12 · 4:10 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARACTR-27-OLI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 110¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 28 trades, 89% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago1¢4bought no
7d ago1¢31bought no
10d ago1¢1bought no
10d ago1¢467bought no
16d ago2¢94bought yes
18d ago2¢468bought yes
18d ago2¢100bought no
19d ago3¢101bought yes
21d ago3¢31bought yes
25d ago4¢117bought yes
26d ago3¢100bought yes
26d ago3¢300bought yes
26d ago3¢1,000bought yes
1mo ago2¢1bought yes
1mo ago2¢2,683bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.