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Oscar for Best Director·closes in 16mo

Will Jesse Eisenberg win Best Director at the Oscars?

YES means Jesse Eisenberg

24h volume
0
1,163 lifetime
Open interest
1,070
Spread
1¢
30.0k × 4,728 at the touch
24h range
–
8 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
Recent buying92% YES · 8% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10099¢
  • ask21472¢
  • ask3,63966¢
  • ask4765¢
  • ask564¢
  • ask4722¢
  • ask4,7282¢
spread1¢mid 2¢
  • bid30.0k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jesse Eisenberg has won Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99thth Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 8 · 11:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARDIR-27-JES
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 114¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 8 trades, 92% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago1¢93bought no
6d ago2¢80bought yes
6d ago2¢25bought yes
6d ago2¢26bought yes
6d ago2¢56bought yes
6d ago2¢322bought yes
7d ago2¢468bought yes
11d ago2¢94bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.