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Oscar for Best Documentary Feature·closes in 16mo

Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the Oscars?

YES means American Doctor

24h volume
0
4,005 lifetime
Open interest
2,542
Spread
6¢
950 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs 9¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 9¢
NO bid / ask
91¢ / 97¢
Recent buying63% YES · 37% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask75246¢
  • ask10945¢
  • ask4844¢
  • ask20033¢
  • ask3032¢
  • ask1.1831¢
  • ask20010¢
  • ask59¢
spread6¢mid 6¢
  • bid9503¢
  • bid2702¢
  • bid2001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If American Doctor has won Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 5 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARDOCU-27-AME
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 182¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 63% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago8¢200bought yes
3d ago7¢30bought yes
3d ago8¢2bought yes
3d ago8¢2bought yes
3d ago8¢15bought yes
3d ago10¢11bought yes
5d ago11¢25bought no
5d ago11¢5bought no
7d ago13¢1.18bought no
7d ago12¢29bought no
7d ago13¢200bought yes
7d ago12¢42bought yes
7d ago14¢6bought yes
7d ago13¢22bought yes
7d ago12¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.