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Oscar for Best Documentary Feature·closes in 16mo

Will NAZA win Best Documentary Feature Film at the Oscars?

YES means NAZA

24h volume
11
1,302 lifetime
Open interest
1,302
+1,302 over 90d
Spread
8¢
200 × 5 at the touch
24h range
26¢ – 26¢
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
26%−3

A YES contract costs 28¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
74%

costs 80¢

YES bid / ask
20¢ / 28¢
NO bid / ask
72¢ / 80¢
24h low 26¢24h high 26¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢volSep 11Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,44671¢
  • ask1370¢
  • ask67461¢
  • ask7560¢
  • ask459¢
  • ask40033¢
  • ask20029¢
  • ask528¢
spread8¢mid 24¢
  • bid20020¢
  • bid50015¢
  • bid838¢
  • bid1627¢
  • bid5626¢
  • bid1,2905¢
  • bid1,2774¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If NAZA has won Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 9 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARDOCU-27-NAZ
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 182¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 15 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11h ago26¢11bought yes
1d ago29¢72bought yes
2d ago29¢66bought yes
3d ago23¢30bought yes
3d ago25¢67bought yes
4d ago31¢3.07bought yes
5d ago23¢21bought yes
7d ago23¢41bought yes
7d ago23¢135bought yes
10d ago30¢159bought yes
10d ago31¢200bought yes
10d ago31¢200bought yes
10d ago30¢200bought yes
11d ago15¢31bought yes
11d ago14¢65bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.