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Best Adapted Screenplay·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?

YES means The Odyssey

24h volume
10
3,337 lifetime
Open interest
2,347
Spread
6¢
5 × 13 at the touch
24h range
91¢ – 91¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
91%+1

A YES contract costs 90¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
9%

costs 16¢

YES bid / ask
84¢ / 90¢
NO bid / ask
10¢ / 16¢
24h low 91¢24h high 91¢
Recent buying74% YES · 26% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20699¢
  • ask76398¢
  • ask30893¢
  • ask20091¢
  • ask1390¢
spread6¢mid 87¢
  • bid584¢
  • bid383¢
  • bid20082¢
  • bid13271¢
  • bid9270¢
  • bid6066¢
  • bid4555¢
  • bid25053¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If The Odyssey has been nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 1 · 1:00 AM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27-ODY
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 74% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
18h ago91¢10bought yes
2d ago90¢3bought yes
2d ago91¢27bought yes
3d ago91¢1bought yes
3d ago91¢54bought yes
8d ago84¢10bought no
8d ago83¢4.58bought no
11d ago91¢27bought yes
12d ago91¢21bought yes
12d ago90¢5bought yes
22d ago85¢1bought no
1mo ago90¢2bought yes
1mo ago90¢2bought yes
1mo ago90¢1.52bought yes
1mo ago89¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.