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Best Adapted Screenplay·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?

YES means The Social Reckoning

24h volume
0
3,820 lifetime
Open interest
1,953
−39 over 7d
Spread
8¢
200 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
49 recent trades
Chance of YES
41%

A YES contract costs 41¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
59%

costs 67¢

YES bid / ask
33¢ / 41¢
NO bid / ask
59¢ / 67¢
Recent buying61% YES · 39% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢50¢volSep 16Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2291¢
  • ask1,24589¢
  • ask44088¢
  • ask3475¢
  • ask2470¢
  • ask20747¢
  • ask20042¢
  • ask541¢
spread8¢mid 37¢
  • bid20033¢
  • bid5212¢
  • bid22711¢
  • bid2,0093¢
  • bid1501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If The Social Reckoning has been nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 21 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMASPLAY-27-SOC
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 49 trades, 61% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago41¢33bought yes
4d ago34¢7bought no
4d ago33¢32bought no
5d ago41¢1.32bought yes
19d ago43¢18bought yes
22d ago41¢12bought yes
24d ago41¢4.68bought yes
24d ago42¢34bought yes
28d ago41¢200bought yes
1mo ago35¢9.43bought no
1mo ago41¢9.43bought yes
1mo ago43¢6.28bought yes
1mo ago42¢5bought yes
1mo ago41¢58bought yes
1mo ago40¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.