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Oscar nominations for Best Casting·closes in 16mo

2027 Achievement in Casting Oscar nominations?

YES means Being Heumann

24h volume
70
765 lifetime
Open interest
661
+170 over 7d
Spread
5¢
29 × 5 at the touch
24h range
27¢ – 27¢
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
27%+2

A YES contract costs 28¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
73%

costs 77¢

YES bid / ask
23¢ / 28¢
NO bid / ask
72¢ / 77¢
24h low 27¢24h high 27¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask22099¢
  • ask2,46596¢
  • ask1395¢
  • ask3394¢
  • ask6493¢
  • ask20829¢
  • ask528¢
spread5¢mid 26¢
  • bid2923¢
  • bid20022¢
  • bid298¢
  • bid427¢
  • bid946¢
  • bid2905¢
  • bid1501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Being Heumann has been nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 21 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMBCASTING-27-BEI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
14h ago27¢70bought yes
1d ago25¢95bought yes
4d ago23¢5bought yes
6d ago25¢19bought yes
18d ago24¢25bought yes
18d ago23¢25bought yes
18d ago25¢25bought yes
2mo ago23¢50bought yes
2mo ago22¢5bought yes
2mo ago22¢5bought yes
2mo ago22¢4.27bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.