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Oscar nominations for Best Casting·closes in 16mo

2027 Achievement in Casting Oscar nominations?

YES means Dune: Part Three

24h volume
0
1,708 lifetime
Open interest
1,110
+0 over 7d
Spread
8¢
78 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
9 recent trades
Chance of YES
29%

A YES contract costs 29¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
71%

costs 79¢

YES bid / ask
21¢ / 29¢
NO bid / ask
71¢ / 79¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
20¢30¢40¢volSep 15Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask50065¢
  • ask1,11464¢
  • ask1463¢
  • ask50050¢
  • ask4449¢
  • ask36935¢
  • ask20030¢
  • ask529¢
spread8¢mid 25¢
  • bid7821¢
  • bid20020¢
  • bid496¢
  • bid2215¢
  • bid5134¢
  • bid1501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Dune: Part Three has been nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 21 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMBCASTING-27-DUN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 9 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago29¢28bought yes
1mo ago28¢5bought yes
1mo ago28¢3.4bought yes
2mo ago29¢5bought yes
2mo ago29¢45bought yes
2mo ago29¢4.9bought yes
2mo ago28¢5bought yes
2mo ago29¢1.9bought yes
2mo ago28¢32bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.