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Oscar nominations for Best Casting·closes in 16mo

2027 Achievement in Casting Oscar nominations?

YES means Michael

24h volume
24
1,819 lifetime
Open interest
1,057
+522 over 90d
Spread
4¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
20¢ – 20¢
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
20%+1

A YES contract costs 18¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
80%

costs 86¢

YES bid / ask
14¢ / 18¢
NO bid / ask
82¢ / 86¢
24h low 20¢24h high 20¢
Recent buying97% YES · 3% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢volJun 28Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask15099¢
  • ask84486¢
  • ask1385¢
  • ask12382¢
  • ask6081¢
  • ask20019¢
  • ask518¢
spread4¢mid 16¢
  • bid514¢
  • bid1513¢
  • bid20012¢
  • bid434¢
  • bid2223¢
  • bid6142¢
  • bid1501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Michael has been nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 15 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMBCASTING-27-MIC
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 97% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
18h ago20¢24bought yes
4d ago19¢200bought yes
23d ago60¢11bought yes
23d ago19¢200bought yes
23d ago60¢5bought yes
23d ago19¢95bought yes
23d ago18¢5bought yes
28d ago12¢0.05bought no
2mo ago17¢0.05bought yes
2mo ago11¢17bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.