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Oscar nominations for Best Casting·closes in 16mo

2027 Achievement in Casting Oscar nominations?

YES means Obsession

24h volume
66
2,967 lifetime
Open interest
1,537
+59 over 24h
Spread
5¢
200 × 5 at the touch
24h range
36¢ – 37¢
49 recent trades
Chance of YES
37%+5

A YES contract costs 37¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
63%

costs 68¢

YES bid / ask
32¢ / 37¢
NO bid / ask
63¢ / 68¢
24h low 36¢24h high 37¢
Recent buying70% YES · 30% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢volSep 20, 4:28 PMSep 21, 5:48 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask11786¢
  • ask53785¢
  • ask30784¢
  • ask6570¢
  • ask669¢
  • ask20039¢
  • ask2.6438¢
  • ask537¢
spread5¢mid 35¢
  • bid20032¢
  • bid6414¢
  • bid21410¢
  • bid6605¢
  • bid1004¢
  • bid152¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Obsession has been nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 16 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMBCASTING-27-OBS
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 49 trades, 70% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6h ago37¢59bought yes
6h ago36¢6.04bought yes
15h ago36¢1.32bought yes
1d ago32¢71bought no
1d ago36¢10bought no
1d ago35¢100bought no
1d ago42¢46bought yes
6d ago25¢19bought yes
10d ago25¢7.6bought yes
14d ago21¢200bought no
14d ago24¢11bought yes
14d ago24¢18bought yes
15d ago22¢200bought yes
15d ago20¢68bought no
16d ago25¢38bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.