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INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM·closes in 16mo

2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations?

YES means The Black Ball

24h volume
0
3,681 lifetime
Open interest
1,398
+516 over 90d
Spread
5¢
213 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
6 recent trades
Chance of YES
92%

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
8%

costs 8¢

YES bid / ask
92¢ / 97¢
NO bid / ask
3¢ / 8¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
70¢80¢90¢100¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask15099¢
  • ask10598¢
  • ask597¢
spread5¢mid 95¢
  • bid21392¢
  • bid183¢
  • bid182¢
  • bid50075¢
  • bid96650¢
  • bid5048¢
  • bid1,00044¢
  • bid1052¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If The Black Ball has been nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
May 20 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMINTERFILM-27-BLA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 6 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago91¢5bought yes
4d ago92¢3bought yes
4d ago92¢200bought yes
1mo ago88¢2bought yes
1mo ago87¢5bought yes
1mo ago88¢1.3bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.