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MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Makeup and Hairstyling Oscar nominations?

YES means Michael

24h volume
0
1,354 lifetime
Open interest
548
+0 over 24h
Spread
7¢
8.64 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
38%

A YES contract costs 36¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
62%

costs 71¢

YES bid / ask
29¢ / 36¢
NO bid / ask
64¢ / 71¢
Recent buying79% YES · 21% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5098¢
  • ask3497¢
  • ask671¢
  • ask38170¢
  • ask9052¢
  • ask7.338¢
  • ask20037¢
  • ask536¢
spread7¢mid 32¢
  • bid8.6429¢
  • bid22128¢
  • bid1314¢
  • bid9013¢
  • bid499¢
  • bid2006¢
  • bid9234¢
  • bid1501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Michael has been nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 21 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMMAKEUP-27-MIC
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 15 trades, 79% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago38¢0.15bought yes
1mo ago37¢5bought yes
1mo ago36¢66bought yes
2mo ago36¢9bought yes
2mo ago35¢1bought yes
2mo ago29¢5.78bought no
2mo ago30¢60bought no
2mo ago31¢1bought no
2mo ago31¢11bought no
2mo ago34¢100bought yes
2mo ago34¢0.6bought yes
2mo ago33¢5bought yes
2mo ago36¢22bought yes
2mo ago34¢12bought yes
2mo ago33¢72bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.