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Oscar for Best Original Score·closes in 16mo

Will The Black Ball win Best Music (Original Score) at the Oscars?

YES means The Black Ball

24h volume
0
1,059 lifetime
Open interest
1,059
+0 over 7d
Spread
5¢
1,000 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
9 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%

A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
5¢ / 10¢
NO bid / ask
90¢ / 95¢
Recent buying87% YES · 13% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 16Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask19156¢
  • ask29152¢
  • ask5151¢
  • ask20011¢
  • ask510¢
spread5¢mid 7¢
  • bid1,0005¢
  • bid764¢
  • bid1,0003¢
  • bid2542¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If The Black Ball has won Best Music (Original Score) at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 5 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARSCORE-27-BLA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 111¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 9 trades, 87% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9d ago4¢135bought no
9d ago11¢200bought yes
9d ago54¢24bought yes
23d ago11¢200bought yes
1mo ago13¢200bought yes
1mo ago8¢200bought yes
1mo ago8¢1bought yes
2mo ago4¢33bought yes
2mo ago6¢66bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.