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Oscar for Best Supporting Actor·closes in 16mo

Will Skyler Gisondo win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

YES means Skyler Gisondo

24h volume
0
1,551 lifetime
Open interest
1,501
+111 over 7d
Spread
1¢
0 × 1,722 at the touch
24h range
–
12 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying94% YES · 6% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 18

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6697¢
  • ask5896¢
  • ask324¢
  • ask2422¢
  • ask1,24221¢
  • ask2420¢
  • ask462¢
  • ask1,7221¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Skyler Gisondo has won Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Sep 8 · 11:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXOSCARSUPACTO-27-SKY
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 162¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 12 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    3d ago1¢48bought no
    4d ago1¢47bought no
    4d ago2¢63bought yes
    7d ago2¢92bought yes
    7d ago2¢48bought yes
    9d ago3¢2bought yes
    9d ago4¢43bought yes
    9d ago2¢1,172bought yes
    9d ago2¢1bought yes
    9d ago2¢1bought yes
    11d ago2¢28bought yes
    12d ago1¢5bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.