Jon Ossoff announces presidential run by...?·closes in 6mo

Will Jon Ossoff announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?

YES means Before Apr 1, 2027

24h volume
0
661 lifetime
Open interest
658
+657 over 90d
Spread
200 × 200 at the touch
24h range
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
32%

A YES contract costs 33¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
68%

costs 76¢

YES bid / ask
24¢ / 33¢
NO bid / ask
67¢ / 76¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢volJul 8Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask25191¢
  • ask18383¢
  • ask37773¢
  • ask3672¢
  • ask27771¢
  • ask19370¢
  • ask1367¢
  • ask20033¢
spreadmid 28¢
  • bid20024¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jon Ossoff has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.

opened
Jul 7 · 5:00 PM UTC
closes
Apr 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSSOFFRUN-28-27APR01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago32¢16bought yes
4d ago32¢5bought yes
4d ago33¢9.6bought yes
10d ago33¢200bought yes
11d ago29¢200bought yes
11d ago25¢200bought yes
1mo ago17¢1bought no
2mo ago17¢1bought no
2mo ago23¢27bought yes
2mo ago21¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.