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WHO WILL BE CHARACTER IN JAMES BOND·closes in 52mo

Will Seth Numrich perform as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film?

YES means Seth Numrich

24h volume
0
25 lifetime
Open interest
0
+0 over 7d
Spread
97¢
0 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
5%+2

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 97¢
NO bid / ask
3¢ / 100¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,11198¢
  • ask20097¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Seth Numrich performs/ is announced as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.

    For the purposes of this Contract, Seth Numrich satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Seth Numrich is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Seth Numrich appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as Felix Leiter in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film. Additional clarification(s): If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Seth Numrich was officially announced in Felix Leiter, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for Felix Leiter (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Seth Numrich is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without Seth Numrich being announced or performing in Felix Leiter, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for Felix Leiter.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jan 9 · 3:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 2, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC
    ticker
    KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX-SET
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.