Will Idris Elba perform as M in the next James Bond film?
YES means Idris Elba
- 24h volume
- 0
- 29 lifetime
- Open interest
- 4.96
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 8¢
- 1.96 × 100 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 2 recent trades
A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 94¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask14058¢
- ask5057¢
- ask12955¢
- ask10014¢
- bid1.966¢
- bid1005¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Idris Elba performs/ is announced as M in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purposes of this Contract, Idris Elba satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Idris Elba is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform M in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Idris Elba appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as M in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film. Additional clarification(s): If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Idris Elba was officially announced in M, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for M (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Idris Elba is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without Idris Elba being announced or performing in M, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for M.
- opened
- Jan 8 · 11:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 2, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC
- ticker
- KXPERFORMROLE007-M-IDR
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 2 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10d ago | 12¢ | 1.96 | bought yes |
| 20d ago | 13¢ | 2 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.