Will Margaret Qualley perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
YES means Margaret Qualley
- 24h volume
- 0
- 3,204 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,998
- Spread
- 8¢
- 10 × 100 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 20 recent trades
A YES contract costs 39¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 69¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask26191¢
- ask17989¢
- ask12588¢
- ask1,54987¢
- ask34368¢
- ask5367¢
- ask3863¢
- ask10039¢
- bid1031¢
- bid10030¢
- bid4613¢
- bid33910¢
- bid139¢
- bid744¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Margaret Qualley performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purposes of this Contract, Margaret Qualley satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Margaret Qualley is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Margaret Qualley appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film. Additional clarification(s): If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Margaret Qualley was officially announced in a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Margaret Qualley is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without Margaret Qualley being announced or performing in a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”.
- opened
- Feb 14 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 2, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC
- ticker
- KXPERFORMROLE007-MAR
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 20 trades, 51% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 30¢ | 21 | bought no |
| 13d ago | 37¢ | 35 | bought yes |
| 24d ago | 29¢ | 40 | bought no |
| 26d ago | 29¢ | 35 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 31¢ | 2.35 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 32¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 38¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 39¢ | 20 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 39¢ | 7.35 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 27¢ | 4.91 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 27¢ | 4.61 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 28¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 35¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 36¢ | 296 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 27¢ | 166 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.