WHO WILL BE CHARACTER IN JAMES BOND·closes in 52mo

Will Adam Driver perform as Villain in the next James Bond film?

YES means Adam Driver

24h volume: 0; 285 lifetime
Open interest: 45; +0 over 24h
Spread: 93¢; 1.71 × 140 at the touch
24h range: –; 2 recent trades

Chance of YES

11%

A YES contract costs 98¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

89%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask

5¢ / 98¢

NO bid / ask

2¢ / 95¢

Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask14098¢

spread93¢mid 52¢

bid1.715¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Adam Driver performs/ is announced as The Villain in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.

For the purposes of this Contract, Adam Driver satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Adam Driver is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform The Villain in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Adam Driver appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as The Villain in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film. Additional clarification(s): If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Adam Driver was officially announced in The Villain, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for The Villain (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Adam Driver is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without Adam Driver being announced or performing in The Villain, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for The Villain.

Settlement sources

007.com

opened: Jan 8 · 11:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 2, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker: KXPERFORMROLE007-VILLAIN-ADA

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 2 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
10d ago	11¢	1.71	bought yes
2mo ago	13¢	1.22	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.