Will Yahya Abdul-Mateen II perform as the main protagonist in the next theatrical film in the Black Panther franchise produced or distributed by Marvel Studios and officially recognized by Marvel Studios or Disney as the next primary Black Panther motion picture following Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2022)?
YES means Yahya Abdul-Mateen II
- 24h volume
- 0
- 83 lifetime
- Open interest
- 83
- Spread
- 96¢
- 50 × 34 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 1 recent trades
A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 99¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask5099¢
- ask3497¢
- bid501¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Yahya Abdul-Mateen II performs/ is announced as the main protagonist in the next theatrical film in the Black Panther franchise produced or distributed by Marvel Studios and officially recognized by Marvel Studios or Disney as the next primary Black Panther motion picture following Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2022), then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purposes of this Contract, Yahya Abdul-Mateen II satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Yahya Abdul-Mateen II is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform the main protagonist in the next theatrical film in the Black Panther franchise produced or distributed by Marvel Studios and officially recognized by Marvel Studios or Disney as the next primary Black Panther motion picture following Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2022), regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Yahya Abdul-Mateen II appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as the main protagonist in any official performance, showing, or release of the next theatrical film in the Black Panther franchise produced or distributed by Marvel Studios and officially recognized by Marvel Studios or Disney as the next primary Black Panther motion picture following Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2022). Additional clarification(s): If the next theatrical film in the Black Panther franchise produced or distributed by Marvel Studios and officially recognized by Marvel Studios or Disney as the next primary Black Panther motion picture following Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2022) is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Yahya Abdul-Mateen II was officially announced in the main protagonist, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for the main protagonist (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Yahya Abdul-Mateen II is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) the next theatrical film in the Black Panther franchise produced or distributed by Marvel Studios and officially recognized by Marvel Studios or Disney as the next primary Black Panther motion picture following Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2022) is cancelled or completes its run without Yahya Abdul-Mateen II being announced or performing in the main protagonist, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for the main protagonist.
- opened
- May 30 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Dec 31, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 2, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
- ticker
- KXPERFORMROLEBPANTHER-BP-YAH
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 1 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 83 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.