next player black panther·closes in 36mo

Will Angela Bassett perform as any role as an actor in Black Panther 3?

YES means Angela Bassett

24h volume
0
6.02 lifetime
Open interest
1.47
+1.47 over 90d
Spread
92¢
1.47 × 5 at the touch
24h range
3 recent trades
Chance of YES
54%

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
46%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
/ 97¢
NO bid / ask
/ 95¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 16Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask3598¢
  • ask597¢
spread92¢mid 51¢
  • bid1.47
  • bid35
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Angela Bassett performs/ is announced as any role as an actor in Black Panther 3, then the market resolves to Yes.

For the purposes of this Contract, Angela Bassett satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Angela Bassett is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform any role as an actor in Black Panther 3, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Angela Bassett appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as any role as an actor in any official performance, showing, or release of Black Panther 3. Additional clarification(s): If Black Panther 3 is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Angela Bassett was officially announced in any role as an actor, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for any role as an actor (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Angela Bassett is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) Black Panther 3 is cancelled or completes its run without Angela Bassett being announced or performing in any role as an actor, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for any role as an actor.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 11 · 9:53 PM UTC
closes
Aug 31, 2029 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 1, 2028 · 3:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXPERFORMROLEBPANTHER-BP3-ANG
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 3 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
15d ago54¢3.01bought no
26d ago63¢1.54bought yes
1mo ago66¢1.47bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.