WHO WILL PERFORM AS BRITNEY SPEARS IN BIO PIC·closes in 52mo

Will Florence Pugh perform as Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu?

YES means Florence Pugh

24h volume
0
1,021 lifetime
Open interest
198
+0 over 24h
Spread
18¢
111 × 5 at the touch
24h range
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
/ 20¢
NO bid / ask
80¢ / 98¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,11198¢
  • ask5097¢
  • ask20093¢
  • ask8692¢
  • ask1291¢
  • ask884¢
  • ask321¢
  • ask520¢
spread18¢mid 11¢
  • bid111
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Florence Pugh performs/ is announced as Britney Spears in the Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu, then the market resolves to Yes.

For the purposes of this Contract, Florence Pugh satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Florence Pugh is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Florence Pugh appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as Britney Spears in any official performance, showing, or release of Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu. Additional clarification(s): If Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Florence Pugh was officially announced in Britney Spears, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for Britney Spears (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Florence Pugh is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu is cancelled or completes its run without Florence Pugh being announced or performing in Britney Spears, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for Britney Spears.

opened
Jan 13 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 2, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXPERFORMROLEBRITNEY-FLO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.