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WHO WILL PERFORM AS BRITNEY SPEARS IN BIO PIC·closes in 52mo

Will Margot Robbie perform as Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu?

YES means Margot Robbie

24h volume
0
332 lifetime
Open interest
80
Spread
1¢
0 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,11198¢
  • ask2893¢
  • ask5591¢
  • ask1290¢
  • ask51¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Margot Robbie performs/ is announced as Britney Spears in the Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu, then the market resolves to Yes.

    For the purposes of this Contract, Margot Robbie satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Margot Robbie is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Margot Robbie appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as Britney Spears in any official performance, showing, or release of Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu. Additional clarification(s): If Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Margot Robbie was officially announced in Britney Spears, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for Britney Spears (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Margot Robbie is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu is cancelled or completes its run without Margot Robbie being announced or performing in Britney Spears, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for Britney Spears.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jan 13 · 3:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 2, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC
    ticker
    KXPERFORMROLEBRITNEY-MAR
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.