WHO WILL PERFORM AS BRITNEY SPEARS IN BIO PIC·closes in 52mo

Will Olivia Holt perform as Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu?

YES means Olivia Holt

24h volume
0
1,428 lifetime
Open interest
841
Spread
71¢
5 × 70 at the touch
24h range
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
25%

A YES contract costs 73¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
75%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
/ 73¢
NO bid / ask
27¢ / 98¢
Recent buying64% YES · 36% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,10998¢
  • ask24596¢
  • ask5394¢
  • ask3793¢
  • ask8675¢
  • ask574¢
  • ask7073¢
spread71¢mid 38¢
  • bid5
  • bid100
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Olivia Holt performs/ is announced as Britney Spears in the Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu, then the market resolves to Yes.

For the purposes of this Contract, Olivia Holt satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Olivia Holt is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Olivia Holt appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as Britney Spears in any official performance, showing, or release of Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu. Additional clarification(s): If Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Olivia Holt was officially announced in Britney Spears, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for Britney Spears (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Olivia Holt is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu is cancelled or completes its run without Olivia Holt being announced or performing in Britney Spears, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for Britney Spears.

opened
Jan 13 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 2, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXPERFORMROLEBRITNEY-OLI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 15 trades, 64% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6d ago25¢45bought no
7d ago25¢6.55bought no
10d ago25¢46bought no
17d ago31¢31bought yes
19d ago32¢30bought yes
19d ago31¢6bought yes
19d ago32¢9.09bought yes
20d ago31¢6.15bought yes
20d ago31¢9.23bought yes
1mo ago31¢77bought yes
1mo ago32¢2.98bought yes
2mo ago22¢1bought no
2mo ago23¢3.07bought no
2mo ago31¢3.07bought yes
2mo ago32¢8.02bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.