galdor.xyz
Admin
2028 Presidential matchup·closes in 26mo

Will Andy Beshear and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

YES means Andy Beshear v. JD Vance

24h volume
0
6,050 lifetime
Open interest
4,903
+2,676 over 90d
Spread
1¢
7.55 × 892 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 2¢
20 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
24h low 1¢24h high 2¢
Recent buying70% YES · 30% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volJul 5Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Andy Beshear (D) and JD Vance (R) are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee (PRESNOM), Republican Nominee (PRESNOM). All conditions must be satisfied for the 2028 presidential election.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 7 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXPRESMATCHUP-28NOV07-ABESJVAN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 62¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 20 trades, 70% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago1¢1bought no
19d ago2¢275bought yes
1mo ago2¢0.65bought yes
1mo ago2¢1.67bought yes
1mo ago2¢0.55bought yes
1mo ago2¢4.42bought yes
1mo ago2¢48bought yes
1mo ago2¢0.58bought yes
1mo ago2¢273bought yes
1mo ago2¢1.68bought yes
1mo ago1¢538bought no
1mo ago1¢50bought no
1mo ago1¢1.87bought no
1mo ago1¢1.68bought no
1mo ago1¢447bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.