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2028 Presidential matchup·closes in 26mo

Will Jon Ossoff and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

YES means Jon Ossoff v. JD Vance

24h volume
60
20.7k lifetime
Open interest
14.0k
+193 over 7d
Spread
1¢
28 × 314 at the touch
24h range
7¢ – 8¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%+1

A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask
7¢ / 8¢
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 93¢
24h low 7¢24h high 8¢
Recent buying44% YES · 56% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask530¢
  • ask525¢
  • ask1015¢
  • ask1012¢
  • ask1011¢
  • ask1010¢
  • ask27110¢
  • ask3148¢
spread1¢mid 7¢
  • bid287¢
  • bid487¢
  • bid376¢
  • bid2,1496¢
  • bid4006¢
  • bid846¢
  • bid2265¢
  • bid1205¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jon Ossoff (D) and JD Vance (R) are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee (PRESNOM), Republican Nominee (PRESNOM). All conditions must be satisfied for the 2028 presidential election.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 7 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXPRESMATCHUP-28NOV07-JOSSJVAN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 62¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 44% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago8¢60bought yes
1d ago7¢1bought no
5d ago8¢117bought yes
5d ago8¢110bought yes
5d ago8¢24bought yes
6d ago7¢3bought yes
6d ago8¢122bought yes
8d ago8¢63bought yes
8d ago8¢86bought yes
10d ago7¢18bought yes
10d ago7¢964bought no
10d ago7¢67bought no
10d ago7¢133bought no
10d ago8¢3bought no
10d ago8¢18bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.