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2028 Presidential matchup·closes in 26mo

Will Pete Buttigieg and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

YES means Pete Buttigieg v. JD Vance

24h volume
0
6,803 lifetime
Open interest
4,660
Spread
1¢
11 × 811 at the touch
24h range
–
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying95% YES · 5% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask103¢
  • ask103¢
  • ask5,0143¢
  • ask143¢
  • ask92¢
  • ask1.692¢
  • ask642¢
  • ask8112¢
spread1¢mid 1¢
  • bid111¢
  • bid5300¢
  • bid3810¢
  • bid2500¢
  • bid2,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Pete Buttigieg (D) and JD Vance (R) are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee (PRESNOM), Republican Nominee (PRESNOM). All conditions must be satisfied for the 2028 presidential election.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 7 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXPRESMATCHUP-28NOV07-PBUTJVAN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 62¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 95% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago2¢1,222bought yes
7d ago2¢16bought yes
9d ago2¢200bought yes
12d ago2¢125bought yes
1mo ago2¢99bought yes
1mo ago1¢1bought yes
1mo ago2¢1.14bought yes
2mo ago2¢62bought yes
2mo ago1¢100bought no
2mo ago2¢9bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.