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Green Primary winner·closes in 26mo

Will Butch Ware be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?

YES means Butch Ware

24h volume
0
2,031 lifetime
Open interest
1,434
−1 over 30d
Spread
47¢
9.15 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
23 recent trades
Chance of YES
21%

A YES contract costs 70¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
79%

costs 77¢

YES bid / ask
23¢ / 70¢
NO bid / ask
30¢ / 77¢
Recent buying86% YES · 14% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask89599¢
  • ask11795¢
  • ask4995¢
  • ask3275¢
  • ask9573¢
  • ask571¢
  • ask570¢
spread47¢mid 47¢
  • bid9.1523¢
  • bid1982¢
  • bid382¢
  • bid501¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Butch Ware wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Green party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 7 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESNOMG-28-BWAR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 29¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 23 trades, 86% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago21¢1bought no
1mo ago30¢16bought yes
1mo ago30¢9.53bought yes
1mo ago24¢0.82bought no
1mo ago29¢0.82bought yes
1mo ago25¢1bought no
1mo ago24¢9.85bought no
2mo ago29¢5bought yes
2mo ago30¢11bought yes
2mo ago30¢0.85bought yes
2mo ago28¢5bought yes
2mo ago29¢5bought yes
2mo ago23¢5bought no
2mo ago23¢5bought no
2mo ago30¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.