Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
YES means Marco Rubio
Vance leads at 45¢; Rubio is a clear second, DeSantis is 4¢, and a Trump family member is a rounding error. Rubio's own 'announces by Oct 2027' contract is a coin flip.
- 24h volume
- 5,889
- 5.48M lifetime
- Open interest
- 2.49M
- +210.0k over 90d
- Spread
- 1¢
- 9,655 × 72.6k at the touch
- 24h range
- 17¢ – 31¢
A YES contract costs 21¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 80¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Marco Rubio wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Nov 12, 2024 · 1:30 PM UTC
- closes
- Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.