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Pres person·closes in 38mo

Who will win the next presidential election?

YES means Donald J. Trump Jr.

24h volume
11.7k
2.52M lifetime
Open interest
1.74M
Spread
0¢
6,509 × 89.9k at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 1¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 99¢
24h low 1¢24h high 1¢
Recent buying51% YES · 49% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask26.8k2¢
  • ask3,0002¢
  • ask10.0k2¢
  • ask322¢
  • ask39.1k1¢
  • ask47.5k1¢
  • ask58.2k1¢
  • ask89.9k1¢
spread0¢mid 1¢
  • bid6,5091¢
  • bid4,0001¢
  • bid8,0011¢
  • bid62.6k1¢
  • bid19.1k1¢
  • bid5,0000¢
  • bid56.7k0¢
  • bid260.0k0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Donald J. Trump Jr. is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 10, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESPERSON-28-DTRUJR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 94¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 51% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
18m ago1¢50bought yes
19m ago1¢25bought no
19m ago1¢25bought no
24m ago1¢50bought yes
24m ago1¢25bought no
26m ago1¢50bought yes
26m ago1¢25bought no
26m ago1¢25bought no
28m ago1¢25bought no
47m ago1¢50bought yes
47m ago1¢25bought no
48m ago1¢25bought no
49m ago1¢25bought yes
50m ago1¢25bought no
52m ago1¢25bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.