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Pres person·closes in 38mo

Who will win the next presidential election?

YES means Jamie Dimon

24h volume
0
1.38M lifetime
Open interest
1.21M
+7,024 over 7d
Spread
0¢
686 × 6,166 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 99¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3,3332¢
  • ask80.2k2¢
  • ask812¢
  • ask1,0001¢
  • ask241¢
  • ask9761¢
  • ask50.4k1¢
  • ask6,1661¢
spread0¢mid 1¢
  • bid6861¢
  • bid2.281¢
  • bid3650¢
  • bid48.1k0¢
  • bid50.0k0¢
  • bid5.31M0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jamie Dimon is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 8, 2025 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESPERSON-28-JDIM
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 94¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago1¢14bought no
1d ago1¢3.64bought no
2d ago1¢120bought yes
2d ago1¢419bought yes
2d ago1¢500bought yes
3d ago1¢100bought yes
4d ago1¢1.17bought yes
4d ago1¢16bought yes
4d ago1¢66bought yes
4d ago1¢72bought yes
4d ago1¢0.36bought yes
4d ago1¢3.11bought yes
4d ago1¢1,720bought yes
4d ago1¢187bought yes
5d ago1¢747bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.