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Pres person·closes in 38mo

Who will win the next presidential election?

YES means Ro Khanna

24h volume
2,000
511.8k lifetime
Open interest
511.8k
+4,541 over 7d
Spread
1¢
0 × 1.29M at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 1¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 1¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 15Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask51810¢
  • ask4688¢
  • ask2816¢
  • ask505¢
  • ask3434¢
  • ask13¢
  • ask120.9k2¢
  • ask1.29M1¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Ro Khanna is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jun 16 · 3:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXPRESPERSON-28-RKHA
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 94¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    19h ago1¢2,000bought yes
    1d ago1¢16bought yes
    2d ago1¢2,338bought yes
    3d ago1¢187bought yes
    5d ago1¢927bought yes
    8d ago1¢281bought yes
    9d ago1¢1,028bought yes
    11d ago1¢5.15bought yes
    12d ago1¢145bought yes
    15d ago1¢1,403bought yes
    15d ago1¢14bought yes
    18d ago1¢94bought yes
    19d ago1¢23bought yes
    19d ago1¢9.35bought yes
    21d ago1¢333bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.