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Pres person·closes in 38mo

Who will win the next presidential election?

YES means Vivek Ramaswamy

24h volume
4,655
1.83M lifetime
Open interest
1.06M
Spread
0¢
6,496 × 51.3k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%−0

A YES contract costs 0¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 0¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5,0251¢
  • ask1,9451¢
  • ask33.4k1¢
  • ask2651¢
  • ask50.6k1¢
  • ask67.6k1¢
  • ask25.8k1¢
  • ask51.3k0¢
spread0¢mid 0¢
  • bid6,4960¢
  • bid519.9k0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Vivek Ramaswamy is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 10, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESPERSON-28-VRAM
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 94¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago0¢312bought no
6h ago0¢1,753bought yes
9h ago0¢91bought no
21h ago0¢2,500bought yes
1d ago0¢355bought no
1d ago0¢52bought no
2d ago0¢52bought yes
2d ago0¢77bought yes
2d ago0¢93bought no
3d ago0¢100bought yes
3d ago0¢9,748bought yes
3d ago0¢3bought yes
3d ago0¢71.9kbought yes
3d ago0¢500bought yes
3d ago0¢500bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.