Who will win the first round of the next Turkish presidential election?
YES means Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
- 24h volume
- 0
- 12.9k lifetime
- Open interest
- 421
- Spread
- 5¢
- 105 × 5 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 11 recent trades
A YES contract costs 71¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 34¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask1,000100¢
- ask1.4199¢
- ask1,00096¢
- ask31996¢
- ask18695¢
- ask7.0591¢
- ask20072¢
- ask571¢
- bid10566¢
- bid20063¢
- bid14228¢
- bid20016¢
- bid77015¢
- bid9011¢
- bid514¢
- bid1,0004¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the winner of the first round of the next Turkish presidential election is Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
- opened
- Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- May 7, 2029 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- May 7, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXPRESTURKEYR1-28-RTAY
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 11 trades, 45% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8d ago | 64¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 14d ago | 66¢ | 16 | bought no |
| 14d ago | 71¢ | 16 | bought yes |
| 18d ago | 70¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 64¢ | 2.82 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 63¢ | 1.39 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 69¢ | 2.95 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 71¢ | 1.26 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 69¢ | 1.41 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 69¢ | 1.41 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 65¢ | 13 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.