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Prime energy source·closes in 76mo

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

YES means Coal

24h volume
7.29
4,959 lifetime
Open interest
2,793
Spread
1¢
15 × 2.52 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
15%−1

A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
85%

costs 86¢

YES bid / ask
14¢ / 15¢
NO bid / ask
85¢ / 86¢
Recent buying83% YES · 17% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6.2984¢
  • ask182¢
  • ask55080¢
  • ask1,10257¢
  • ask6.2945¢
  • ask30044¢
  • ask60316¢
  • ask2.5215¢
spread1¢mid 15¢
  • bid1514¢
  • bid15613¢
  • bid7.8512¢
  • bid2911¢
  • bid61110¢
  • bid1019¢
  • bid1188¢
  • bid2007¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Coal is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 27, 2025 · 8:45 PM UTC
closes
Dec 30, 2032 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-COAL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 106¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 83% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago15¢6.29bought yes
12h ago15¢1bought yes
1d ago16¢47bought yes
1d ago15¢8.19bought yes
3d ago13¢2.19bought no
3d ago13¢5bought no
3d ago13¢2.93bought no
6d ago15¢5bought yes
6d ago15¢162bought yes
6d ago15¢25bought yes
6d ago15¢13bought yes
6d ago14¢14bought yes
6d ago15¢125bought yes
6d ago14¢7.04bought yes
6d ago14¢1.86bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.