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Prime energy source·closes in 76mo

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

YES means Gas

24h volume
0
6,180 lifetime
Open interest
1,503
Spread
4¢
201 × 14 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%

A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
93%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
4¢ / 8¢
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 96¢
Recent buying42% YES · 58% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8929¢
  • ask1524¢
  • ask21823¢
  • ask26513¢
  • ask40212¢
  • ask1711¢
  • ask119¢
  • ask148¢
spread4¢mid 6¢
  • bid2014¢
  • bid461¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Gas is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 27, 2025 · 8:45 PM UTC
closes
Dec 30, 2032 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-GAS
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 106¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 42% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago7¢36bought no
8d ago9¢118bought no
8d ago12¢118bought yes
10d ago5¢4.4bought no
10d ago6¢5bought no
10d ago10¢0.31bought yes
10d ago10¢9.09bought yes
11d ago10¢5bought yes
18d ago6¢1bought no
19d ago6¢3bought no
21d ago10¢1bought yes
21d ago10¢0.95bought yes
21d ago10¢0.05bought yes
21d ago10¢1bought yes
22d ago5¢2.84bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.