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Prime energy source·closes in 76mo

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

YES means Nuclear

24h volume
0
19.0k lifetime
Open interest
7,298
Spread
2¢
2,631 × 541 at the touch
24h range
–
41 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 98¢
Recent buying90% YES · 10% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask11712¢
  • ask8311¢
  • ask2009¢
  • ask218¢
  • ask1517¢
  • ask8.16¢
  • ask1885¢
  • ask5414¢
spread2¢mid 3¢
  • bid2,6312¢
  • bid10.0k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Nuclear is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 27, 2025 · 8:45 PM UTC
closes
Dec 30, 2032 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-NUCLEAR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 106¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 41 trades, 90% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7d ago3¢156bought no
9d ago3¢17bought no
11d ago4¢13bought yes
13d ago4¢167bought yes
15d ago4¢17bought yes
19d ago3¢1.87bought no
30d ago4¢17bought yes
1mo ago3¢0.84bought no
1mo ago3¢4bought no
1mo ago3¢1bought no
1mo ago2¢4.16bought no
1mo ago5¢10bought yes
1mo ago5¢1.87bought yes
1mo ago2¢20bought no
1mo ago3¢0.01bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.