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Prime energy source·closes in 76mo

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

YES means Oil

24h volume
27
49.5k lifetime
Open interest
11.1k
−186 over 30d
Spread
3¢
25 × 216 at the touch
24h range
64¢ – 68¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
65%+1

A YES contract costs 68¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
35%

costs 35¢

YES bid / ask
65¢ / 68¢
NO bid / ask
32¢ / 35¢
24h low 64¢24h high 68¢
Recent buying45% YES · 55% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
55¢60¢65¢70¢75¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3.1280¢
  • ask4.5778¢
  • ask16077¢
  • ask38375¢
  • ask8774¢
  • ask7670¢
  • ask7369¢
  • ask21668¢
spread3¢mid 67¢
  • bid2565¢
  • bid2364¢
  • bid2363¢
  • bid5.9962¢
  • bid3761¢
  • bid5460¢
  • bid10259¢
  • bid20058¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Oil is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 27, 2025 · 8:45 PM UTC
closes
Dec 30, 2032 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 106¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 45% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6h ago65¢7.19bought no
10h ago68¢14bought yes
13h ago67¢2.91bought yes
23h ago64¢2.64bought no
1d ago67¢1.53bought no
1d ago64¢6.85bought no
1d ago67¢3.47bought no
1d ago67¢12bought no
2d ago67¢2.87bought no
2d ago67¢5bought yes
2d ago67¢27bought yes
2d ago67¢7.32bought yes
2d ago67¢7.91bought yes
2d ago64¢91bought no
2d ago65¢8.95bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.