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Prime energy source·closes in 76mo

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

YES means Solar

24h volume
0
28.3k lifetime
Open interest
9,892
+0 over 30d
Spread
1¢
187 × 902 at the touch
24h range
–
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 3¢
NO bid / ask
97¢ / 98¢
Recent buying64% YES · 36% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask50021¢
  • ask40016¢
  • ask3129¢
  • ask2248¢
  • ask3006¢
  • ask6.455¢
  • ask1564¢
  • ask9023¢
spread1¢mid 3¢
  • bid1872¢
  • bid8,6331¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Solar is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 27, 2025 · 8:45 PM UTC
closes
Dec 30, 2032 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-SOLAR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 106¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 64% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago3¢31bought yes
3d ago3¢312bought yes
4d ago3¢9.98bought yes
11d ago3¢17bought yes
18d ago2¢1bought no
20d ago3¢84bought yes
20d ago3¢16bought yes
21d ago3¢27bought yes
1mo ago3¢40bought yes
1mo ago3¢62bought yes
1mo ago3¢12bought yes
1mo ago3¢312bought yes
1mo ago3¢400bought yes
2mo ago3¢31bought yes
2mo ago3¢31bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.